Gambler's Fallacy Question Pack - Free Download

In 1913, a roulette wheel at the Monte Carlo Casino landed on black 26 times in a row. Gamblers bet everything on red - certain it was "due." The 27th spin came up black. They lost their fortunes because they believed a wheel could remember what it had already done.

It can't. A roulette wheel has no memory. Each spin is completely independent. Black coming up 26 times doesn't make red more likely on the 27th. The wheel doesn't owe anyone anything.

That's the Gambler's Fallacy: believing past results change future odds - that after enough losses, a win is "due". Your kids fall for it without ever touching a casino. Failed tests. Dry spells. In every "my luck has to turn soon" they'll ever tell themselves. This free Question Pack teaches them to catch it.

What's in the free Question Pack:

• Discussion and research questions that get kids arguing about the Monte Carlo story - the productive kind of arguing
• A guided walk through the night a roulette wheel landed on black 26 times in a row - and emptied the pockets of everyone certain red was coming
• An answer sheet, so you can run it at the dinner table or in a classroom with zero prep

The deal, stated plainly We teach people to spot manipulation, so it would be a bit rich to hide ours. This pack is free because it's the best advertisement we have. You hand over your email, we send the download, and every so often we'll email you about new packs, book and our card game. Unsubscribe the moment we get boring. 

One email. Check your spam folder - our goodies have a talent for landing there. 

What the free pack doesn't include

The fully illustrated Winston Churchill story. The Duchess & Bruno comic. The Spot-the-Fallacy hunt through real ads and headlines. The Code Breaker, the Draw Your Own Comic page, and the hidden Gizmo kids go feral trying to find.

All of that lives in the Gambler's Fallacy Activity Pack - a 20-page printed booklet, rated 5.0 by teachers and parents on Etsy and TPT. 

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ "My kids absolutely adore the characters and story! It reminds us of horrible histories. I haven't found anything like this pack before." - Sandra

It's one of 24. Every pack takes one fallacy, one historical disaster and one comic - and turns them into a kid who is very hard to fool.